The Only Constant Is Change... And Exponential Change At That
Updated: Jun 23, 2020
The world has changed so much and so rapidly in recent years; that it is hard to believe that change in the future is likely to be even faster and more significant than the change that we have already experienced. The digital revolution is firmly upon us though, and people all over the world, in all industries and all facets of life are struggling to grasp what this will mean for them and their lives.
“Technology is disrupting traditional industrial processes, and they’re never going back.”
–Peter Diamandis and Steven Kotler, Bold
Chart 1: Exponential improvements in the cost of calculation on a logarithmic scale. Source: Data provided by Ray Kurzweil and updated by DFJ (via Wikimedia Commons)
According to Ray Kurzweil and some of the world's most prominent futurists, most people are underestimating the sheer scale and speed with which human technology and hence society are going to advance in the future. The basic premise for this thinking, other than the visibly increasing speed of technological advancement over the last few decades, is that the more we progress; the faster we can progress. Thus technological progression is exponential and not linear as most of us assume it to be.
Peter Diamandis and Steven Kotler have identified six stages of exponential organizations. These stages include:
THE ON-LINE DISTRIBUTION REVOLUTION
Onyx invests in businesses that can ride the white water of 21st Century change. The Groups invests in 4th Party logistics aggregator businesses in emerging and mature markets. These can lead the e-commerce revolution - one of the most startling products of the 6D's. Ask bricks and mortar retailers what that means today? Multi carrier platforms linked together providing near real-time information on thousands of on-line shipments being moved to impatient and demanding Millennials is a glimpse of the future. Delivered Now. Scaleable, flexible, collaborative.